Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 1.845057 2.102256 2.381727 2.707881 3.078024 3.485006 3.966441
2025-10-19 1.482483 1.841528 2.265487 2.802746 3.465327 4.255716 5.270443
2025-10-26 1.238901 1.633964 2.128098 2.791004 3.656830 4.749298 6.233087
2025-11-02 1.071764 1.485042 2.027038 2.789030 3.832276 5.210569 7.170904
2025-11-09 0.926073 1.339667 1.904960 2.732828 3.913702 5.537459 7.941285
2025-11-16 0.834409 1.254552 1.850423 2.755526 4.094719 6.003028 8.930800
2025-11-23 0.762589 1.187786 1.811563 2.791208 4.289973 6.496271 9.993206
2025-11-30 0.689698 1.110182 1.746766 2.778056 4.405625 6.874987 10.908887
2025-12-07 0.618582 1.027021 1.663946 2.726351 4.452672 7.147135 11.675222
2025-12-14 0.554001 0.947180 1.577731 2.658963 4.465024 7.360415 12.358064
2025-12-21 0.504855 0.887508 1.517697 2.626960 4.528878 7.656117 13.192198
2025-12-28 0.493342 0.890185 1.560206 2.768843 4.892410 8.467723 14.948383
2026-01-04 0.453144 0.842669 1.519507 2.775476 5.045288 8.972502 16.287501
2026-01-11 0.429400 0.822876 1.526437 2.869304 5.365196 9.802290 18.293701
2026-01-18 0.393152 0.775605 1.478623 2.857439 5.490393 10.295045 19.732577
2026-01-25 0.362418 0.735194 1.438853 2.855411 5.631496 10.825730 21.286287
2026-02-01 0.328357 0.684398 1.374007 2.797891 5.659392 11.144895 22.462302
2026-02-08 0.307187 0.657092 1.351723 2.821122 5.845878 11.780134 24.308999
2026-02-15 0.289432 0.634834 1.337050 2.857641 6.061202 12.488178 26.362420
2026-02-22 0.268382 0.603283 1.300189 2.844181 6.171549 12.994003 28.045027
2026-03-01 0.245753 0.565853 1.247319 2.791261 6.193039 13.318232 29.373885
2026-03-08 0.223980 0.527988 1.189779 2.722290 6.172712 13.551601 30.526362
2026-03-15 0.207217 0.499741 1.150440 2.689535 6.228145 13.949434 32.070875